With the operating budget now set the next big shock for city council to deliver to property owners is going to be the Hospital Levy.
We all know it is going to be going up, the only problem is how much and how will council collect the money?
Personally as it stands I believe that the levy is going to be increased to at least three-fold from the present $40 annually to at least $120 and I am sorry to say maybe even more than that.
The big problem I have with what is going to happen here is that this increase is really going to hit people of lesser economic means really hard.
For pensioners - many that are really struggling to get by - as well as those earning lower incomes this is going to be a major blow to their wallets.
I personally am predicting that for many prople in the more affordable home class that the combined property tax increases added to the upcoming hospital levy is effectively going to wipe out the tax relief received when the Wall government made moves in educational taxes.
With that said I wonder how council is going to approach all of this?
Is council going to maintain the status quo and collect the levy on a per property basis which we all know is going to be a hardship for those on limited incomes or will council move to what many might view as a more progressive levy system and simply assess it on a percentage basis?
For example, lets say a person's annual property tax - the city portion - is $1000. Now add to that a hospital levy increase of $120 plus the 3.92 percent already decided and what you have here is an effective city levied tax increase of just under 16 perrcent.
Now lets say your property tax is - the city portion - is $2000. If you add in the 3.92 percent property tax increase plus a hospital levy increase of $120 then you are looking at a city levied tax increase of approximately 10 percent.
Of course my figures are out but percentage-wise and assuming that the poorer and fixed income property owner is in the least assessed home, then percentage-wise the poor are going to really bear the blunt of the property tax and potential hospital levy increase.
The big thing to remember is that for many of the homes in areas where many people are pensioners and those earning smaller incomes the actual property tax increase on a percentage basis (city portion) is going to be much, much higher.
If a person is an advocate of a progressive system then moving to a levy based upon a percentage is the more fairer system.
If a person believes that fairness is based upon everyone being assessed the same in a dollar-wise amount tben any moves towards a levy based upon a percentage of property value is going to be viewed with disdain.
Personally I am predicting that there are forces on city council that are going to move towards the percentage levy structure. The big question is, is there enough will and the numbers to do it?
whether people believe me or not, the hospital levy and how to collect it could be a real problem for the mayor.
If the more progressive Councilor Mitchell can get enough community support behind him, then I think you are going to see some major headaches for Mayor Hagel.
Will the mayor be swayed into abandoning his NDP roots and the progressive nature it places upon taxation or will he sell them out to a more right wing philosophical bend?
Personally I think it is going to be very interesting.
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